Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.082708 0.095465 0.109540 0.126223 0.145461 0.166957 0.192809
2026-02-08 0.062746 0.079931 0.100822 0.128099 0.162804 0.205530 0.262208
2026-02-15 0.051377 0.070128 0.094526 0.128618 0.175092 0.236340 0.323388
2026-02-22 0.044083 0.063648 0.090551 0.130282 0.187574 0.267385 0.387385
2026-03-01 0.037423 0.056718 0.084546 0.127654 0.192912 0.288288 0.438853
2026-03-08 0.032391 0.051266 0.079672 0.125598 0.198210 0.308991 0.491675
2026-03-15 0.029097 0.047911 0.077350 0.126841 0.208263 0.337458 0.559192
2026-03-22 0.027312 0.046653 0.078030 0.132728 0.226097 0.379753 0.653445
2026-03-29 0.025374 0.044854 0.077541 0.136485 0.240636 0.417979 0.745033
2026-04-05 0.023568 0.043029 0.076738 0.139499 0.254059 0.455501 0.839381
2026-04-12 0.021729 0.040904 0.075131 0.140817 0.264469 0.488627 0.929296
2026-04-19 0.019616 0.038017 0.071811 0.138563 0.267958 0.509429 0.998397
2026-04-26 0.017398 0.034707 0.067414 0.133894 0.266582 0.521448 1.052992
2026-05-03 0.016248 0.033342 0.066555 0.135985 0.278579 0.560330 1.165183
2026-05-10 0.015051 0.031736 0.065032 0.136538 0.287482 0.593943 1.270386
2026-05-17 0.014107 0.030534 0.064169 0.138305 0.299001 0.633922 1.393283
2026-05-24 0.012828 0.028472 0.061308 0.135514 0.300512 0.653177 1.473686
2026-05-31 0.011740 0.026701 0.058864 0.133331 0.303050 0.674783 1.561592
2026-06-07 0.011049 0.025733 0.058047 0.134651 0.313497 0.714672 1.695405
2026-06-14 0.010790 0.025722 0.059340 0.140902 0.335867 0.783529 1.904440
2026-06-21 0.010376 0.025300 0.059653 0.144892 0.353366 0.843028 2.097981
2026-06-28 0.009935 0.024762 0.059639 0.148092 0.369310 0.900515 2.293193
2026-07-05 0.009411 0.023964 0.058922 0.149492 0.380980 0.948945 2.471307